Welfare Valuation of an EU Farrowing Crate Ban

AQALY Framework Application: Carpenter & Kanepajs, 2026

This page applies the AQALY-4PD-9L framework (the Animal Quality-Adjusted Life Year with 4 Physical Domains assessed on a 9-Level welfare scale; Espinosa, Browning & Treich, 2025) to quantify and monetise the sow welfare difference between farrowing crates and free-farrowing systems.

DRAFT: Domain grades pending expert validation

Expert Welfare Assessment: Marie

Marie conducted two complementary assessments of sow welfare under farrowing crate and free-farrowing (Swedish model, 6.5 m²) systems, using the Five Domains framework (Mellor, 2016) and EURCAW/Baxter et al. (2011) welfare indicators.

Table 1: Impact Assessment (Source: Impact Assessment sheet)

Welfare Compromise: each indicator scored on Severity, Intensity, Duration, and Confidence (0–4), combined into a composite grade: A (none, 0–0.20), B (low, 0.21–0.40), C (mild-moderate, 0.41–0.60), D (marked-severe, 0.61–0.80), E (very severe, 0.81–1.00). Welfare Enhancements: opportunities for positive experiences scored 0 (none) to +++ (high-level).

Indicator Crate Free farrowing
Welfare
Compromise
Welfare
Enhancements
Welfare
Compromise
Welfare
Enhancements
Environment
Space and freedom to move E 0 A +++
Comfortable climatic conditions D 0 A ++
Separate pen into functional areas / elimination behaviour E 0 B ++
Health
Injuries / Skin lesions D 0 A ++
Behaviour
Nest-building and explorative behaviour D + C ++
Interaction between sow and piglets D 0 A +++
Freedom from sow at weaning D 0 A +++

Subdomain Scoring

Marie's Impact Assessment scores (Table 1) use a Severity/Intensity/Duration scale (0–4 each) that produces composite grades A–E, plus Enhancement ratings (0 to +++). To translate these into the AQALY 1–9 welfare scale, each subdomain grade is computed as: grade = 5 + compromise level − enhancement level, where compromise maps A=0, B=1, C=2, D=3, E=4 and enhancement maps 0=0, +=1, ++=2, +++=3. A grade of 1 (best) means no compromise and high enhancement; 9 (worst) means very severe compromise and no enhancement. Where no Impact Assessment score exists, Marie's Five Domains numeric scores (−2 to +2) are converted as grade = 5 − 2 × score, or qualitative descriptions are translated to the 1–9 scale by expert judgment.

Evidence tiers: Tier 1 = directly scored in the Impact Assessment; Tier 2 = scored by Marie outside the IA; Tier 3 = inferred from system assumptions (description shown in italics).

Question for Marie: Any adjustments to mapping from your scores to AQALY-4PD-9L?
Table 2: Nutrition subdomain scores
SubdomainCrateFree farrowingTierRationale
Water/food intake 1 1 2 Marie +2: easy access, no competition
Foraging material 7 7 2 Marie −1: minimal provision
Fibre diet 9 9 2 Marie −2: liquid feed, lack of fibre
Average
Table 3: Environment subdomain scores
SubdomainCrateFree farrowingTierRationale
Thermal conditions 8 3 1 IA Climate: C(3/3/3) D/0 to A/++
Substrate 7 straw bedding, 3/4 solid floor → 3 3 Crate: Marie −1. Free: Assumptions sheet
Confinement 9 2 1 IA Space: C(4/4/4) E/0 to A/+++
Air/noise/light 7 can regulate exposure via movement → 6 3 Crate: Marie −1. Free: marginal improvement
Environmental monotony 8 4 1 IA Functional areas: C(3/3/4) to B/++
Average
Table 4: Health subdomain scores
SubdomainCrateFree farrowingTierRationale
Disease/injury 8 3 1 IA Injuries: D/0 to A/++
Body condition/fitness 7 movement maintains muscle, bone strength → 4 3 Crate: Marie −1. Free: inferred from movement
Average
Table 5: Behaviour subdomain scores
SubdomainCrateFree farrowingTierRationale
Locomotory 9 freer movement, pen-limited (6.5 m²) → 3 1 IA Space + description
Foraging 7 manipulate enrichment/foraging material → 4 3 Crate: Marie −1. Free: description
Nest-building 8 4 1 IA Nest: D/+ to C/++
Maternal behaviour 8 2 1 IA Interaction: D/0 to A/+++
Social behaviour 7 7 2 Both: individual pens. Marie −1
Escape behaviour 8 avoidance can be shown, distance limited → 3 1 IA Separation + description
Resting behaviour 7 posture changes + straw bedding → 3 3 Crate: Marie −1. Free: description
Comfort behaviour 7 space + substrate enable grooming → 4 3 Crate: Marie −1. Free: description
Average

Domain Grades Comparison

The AQALY framework assesses animal welfare across four physical domains on a 1–9 scale. Lower grades indicate better welfare. Domain grades are continuous averages of their subdomain scores.

Figure 1: Domain Grades
Farrowing crate
Free farrowing
Nutrition
Environment
Health
Behaviour
Scale: 1 (best welfare) to 9 (worst welfare). Domain grades are continuous averages of subdomain scores, with linear interpolation of PCHIP coefficients.

Table 6: Welfare grade scale (1–9)

GradeWelfare levelInterpretation
1Best possibleReference state; no welfare decrement in this domain
2Significant positiveVery good conditions; minor sub-optimality only
3Mild positiveGood conditions
4Minor positiveAbove-neutral; basic positive provisions present
5NeutralNeither positive nor negative welfare in this domain
6Minor negativeBelow-neutral; some compromise of needs
7Mild negativeClear welfare compromise; chronic mild suffering
8Severe negativeSignificant suffering; multiple needs unmet
9Very severe negativeWorst state; extreme and sustained suffering

Grades 3, 5, 7, 9 measured directly via DCE-TTO (Espinosa et al. 2025). Grades 2, 4, 6, 8 interpolated via PCHIP.

Domain-by-domain assessment

Nutrition
Crate 5.67 · Free farrowing 5.67
Lactation diets are nutritionally similar across housing systems. Both receive standard commercial rations formulated for peak milk output. No meaningful difference in nutritional welfare; both scored as neutral.
Environment
Crate 7.80: Extreme spatial restriction confines the sow to a metal frame (~0.6 × 2.1 m) with no turning possible, limited to standing and lying. Bare or slatted flooring with no manipulable substrate. Thermoregulation severely compromised (unable to move to cooler/warmer zones), poor air quality from ammonia exposure, inadequate lighting regimes, and noise stress from neighbouring sows. The worst-scoring domain for the crate system.
Free farrowing 3.60: Indoor pen (~6.5 m²) with deep straw bedding and freedom of movement. Thermoregulation possible through postural and positional choice. Sensory diversity from bedding manipulation, more natural light/dark cycle exposure. Still industrial single-sow housing with hard boundaries; basic spatial and thermal needs are met, but limited enrichment variety and no outdoor access keep this below the best possible.
Health
Crate 7.50: Shoulder ulcers from prolonged recumbency on hard surfaces, urinary tract infections, lameness, and muscle atrophy. Stereotypic bar-biting from frustration. Physiological stress markers elevated.
Free farrowing 3.50: Pressure injuries largely eliminated; improved musculoskeletal condition from regular movement. Above-neutral welfare: the free-farrowing system actively reduces injury risk, with minimal or no skin lesions observed in deep-straw pens.
Behavioural Interactions
Crate 7.50: Complete inability to perform nest-building (the sow's strongest pre-farrowing motivation). No maternal choice over piglet contact; interaction timing forced by physical structure. Prevention of locomotion leads to development of stereotypies (bar-biting, sham-chewing). No escape from distressing stimuli possible. Social interaction with other sows entirely prevented.
Free farrowing 3.75: Nest-building possible with straw provision; sow controls piglet interaction and can express core maternal behaviours. While nest-building material is provided, full expression is still constrained by indoor single-sow pen design. Social investigation of environment enabled, escape and avoidance behaviour possible, reduced stereotypy expression.

AQALY Scores

Each domain grade maps to a coefficient from Table A2 (Espinosa et al. 2025, merged sample N=1,062, PCHIP interpolation). For fractional grades, coefficients are linearly interpolated between the two nearest integer-grade values.

Coefficients are welfare decrements estimated via discrete choice experiments and time-trade-off tasks. Grade 1 = 0 (reference); grade 9 = most severe. Higher absolute values mean worse welfare in that domain.

Aggregation formula

AQALY per year = 1 + βNutrition + βEnvironment + βHealth + βBehaviour

Figure 2: AQALY Scores
Farrowing crate:
Free farrowing:
Farrowing crate
AQALY / year
Free farrowing
AQALY / year
Welfare gain (delta)
AQALY / year

Note: “Positive net welfare” does not necessarily imply a call for subsidies, as there are alternative useful uses of taxpayer money.

Monetised Welfare Value

Core finding

Welfare gains monetised via the human QALY threshold (EUR 147,000), scaled by a moral weight representing how much a pig-year matters relative to a human-year.

Consumer WTP (Clark et al. 2017): meta-analytic consumer willingness-to-pay for pig welfare improvements = EUR 0.54/kg pork, from 13 studies and 90 WTP measures. BCR = 0.54 ÷ 0.0071 = 76.1×, applied uniformly to the EUR 0.22/SCD economic cost.

Per sow-crate-day
EUR 7.80
welfare benefit per sow-crate-day avoided
Per sow per lactation (28 days)
EUR 218.40
one farrowing cycle
Per sow per year (2.3 litters)
EUR 502.32
annual welfare value
Per kg of pork
EUR 2.13
welfare cost embedded in output
Benefit-Cost Ratio
35.5x
Welfare benefit exceeds economic cost by a factor of 35

Table 7: Cost-Benefit Comparison

Welfare benefit alongside economic cost to the producer, across three valuation approaches.

Valuation method Per sow-crate-day Per kg of pork BCR
Consumer WTP (Clark et al. 2017, EUR 0.54/kg) 0.2216.73 0.00710.54 54.0×
Direct: Neuron count (1/44) 0.22 0.0071
Direct: Hedonic capacity (0.515) 0.22 0.0071

All values in EUR. Cost = economic cost to producer. Benefit = monetised welfare gain. BCR = benefit-cost ratio (benefit ÷ cost).

Comparison with Other Estimates

The Clark et al. (2017) meta-analytic WTP of EUR 0.54/kg used in the first toggle can be cross-checked against other estimates and proposals:

Methodology

AQALY Framework

The Animal Quality-Adjusted Life Year (AQALY) framework was developed by Espinosa, Browning, and Treich (2025). It adapts the human QALY concept for animal welfare valuation using a discrete choice experiment (DCE) with time trade-off (TTO) methodology.

The 4PD-9L variant used here assesses four physical domains (Nutrition, Environment, Health, Behaviour) on a nine-grade scale. Coefficients were estimated from a merged sample of N=1,062 respondents.

Subdomain layer. Domain grades in this assessment derive from 18 subdomains, built from Marie's Five Domains assessment of sow welfare in crate and free-farrowing (Swedish model, 6.5 m²) systems. Each subdomain is scored on the same 1–9 scale, and the domain grade is the arithmetic mean of its subdomains. This produces continuous (fractional) domain grades.

Evidence tiers. Subdomain scores draw on three tiers of evidence:

Coefficient interpolation. The AQALY coefficient array provides values at integer grades 1–9. For fractional domain grades, coefficients are computed via linear interpolation between the two nearest integer-grade coefficients. For example, a grade of 7.50 uses the midpoint between the grade-7 and grade-8 coefficients.

Formula: AQALY/year = 1 + βNutrition + βEnvironment + βHealth + βBehaviour

The resulting AQALY difference is pro-rated to a 28-day lactation block and monetised at the EU QALY threshold (EUR 147,000), scaled by a moral weight.

Moral Weight Choices

Consumer WTP (Clark et al. 2017, EUR 16.73/SCD): Meta-analytic consumer willingness-to-pay for pig welfare improvements. Clark et al. (2017) synthesised 54 studies (335 WTP estimates, 17 countries). The pig-specific weighted mean is EUR 0.54/kg (13 studies, 90 measures, I² = 98.33%; GRADE: LOW). BCR = EUR 0.54 ÷ EUR 0.0071 per-kg cost = 76.1×; applied to EUR 0.22/SCD cost gives EUR 16.73/SCD. Methodologically distinct from the AQALY framework: a top-down stated-preference approach rather than bottom-up welfare science.

Neuron count (1/44 = 0.0227): The ratio of cortical neurons between pig (~2.2 billion) and human (~86 billion, of which cortical ~16 billion) brains.

Hedonic capacity (0.515): The Rethink Priorities welfare range estimate, which aggregates across multiple theories of consciousness and hedonic capacity. Substantially higher, reflecting that many ethical frameworks assign pigs considerably more than neuron-proportional moral weight.

Economic Cost Source

The economic cost of EUR 0.22 per sow-crate-day comes from the EUFF economic module, which estimates the net producer cost of transitioning from farrowing crates to free-farrowing systems. This figure integrates capital costs (pen conversion), operating cost changes (labour, feed, mortality), and productivity effects across the EU-27 herd.

EUR 18 per sow per year and EUR 0.0071 per kg of pork are derived from the same module using standard denominators (2.3 litters/year, 28.2 marketed pigs/sow at 90.4 kg HCW = ~2,550 kg/sow/year).

Limitations